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Good afternoon everyone. It’s been so long since I got to write one of these in such short range, so I’m not entirely sure where to start. However… things are certainly shaping up to bring an end to the shut-out of a winter we have had. There are still, many, many uncertainties with this system(s), most of which I’ll illustrate here.
Read moreDISCLAIMER: The following is an unofficial forecast. Please refer to the NWS for any official statements regarding any potential frozen precipitation. Good afternoon everyone. Last week, I began closely monitoring a weak low pressure system for a chance at some frozen precipitation here in Northern Georgia. The longer-range models (GFS/EURO/CMC) all showed this threat to begin with then backed off. However,
Read moreOctober has nearly arrived, and with it the return of winter forecasting. Several meteorologists have put out their winter forecasts in the past few weeks, and the CPC has updated their seasonal outlooks for the El Nino/La Nina (ENSO). Personally I don’t go for long-range forecasts, especially for winter in the SE since so many things have to come together
Read moreIf you haven’t heard by now, you probably will within the next couple of days: another tropical wave is making its way across the Atlantic and causing quite a stir in the weather community. Up until this morning, nothing besides the GFS ensembles had really shown much potential with this wave, however the overnight and daytime runs of both the
Read moreIt is looking rather likely that we have a lot to deal with weather-wise over the next 48 hours. Damaging wind, hail, and tornadoes are all in the cards, along with extremely heavy rainfall that will likely lead to localized flooding. The following are the SPC’s latest probabilities for tornadoes, wind, and hail respectively through the day today and
Read moreIt’s been a while since we’ve seen a major severe weather threat here in Northern Georgia. In fact, the entire country has been extremely quiet in terms of severe this year, with one of the slowest tornado season starts ever recorded. That streak looks to end starting tomorrow across the midwest and gradually spread eastward into our area by next
Read moreConfidence is increasing significantly that a major winter storm impacts much of MS/AL/GA/TN/NC/SC beginning this Monday and lasting through Wednesday. Two individual events will happen with the first being an overrunning event beginning late Monday and lasting through the overnight and through mid-morning Tuesday. Then event #2 comes in the form of a bona-fide gulf low later during the day
Read moreGood morning/afternoon/evening (depending on when you are reading this) everyone. The stage is being set for what is looking to be by far the best potential for a major winter storm we have seen in quite some time across north GA. The Euro and it’s ensemble mean have been extremely consistent with this threat, and as of tonight the UKMET
Read more*disclaimer: the following is not a forecast ,just my thoughts at this time* So, chances are you have seen or heard at least something about the potential for snow this week. This is my take on the next 72 hours. The energy that we will be watching closely can be seen in the blow image just entering the
Read moreIf you haven’t had enough of the cloudy, cool, rainy conditions we’ve had here lately, then you are in luck, because there’s plenty more on the way. Earlier today, the NWS issued a hydrological statement due to flooding concerns this weekend, so lets take a look at what is on the way. First, here is the current 500mb (way up
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