Heavy rain possible Monday

Some big rains are coming to our region thanks to a low pressure system that has developed off the Gulf Coast.

There’s a couple major changes to the forecast over the next couple of days thanks to the development of a surface low over the northern Gulf of Mexico. The Hurricane Center issued a notice on the development of this low giving it a 10% chance of becoming a depression over the next 48 hours. That won’t be happening before it moves onshore but regardless it will act as a focal point for some heavy rainfall over the next 2 days.

This low will move onshore sometime early Monday spreading an area of rainfall into North Georgia. This rain could be heavy at times, especially along the southeast facing slopes north of Dawsonville, Dahlonega, Cleveland and Clarkesville. The WPC has issued a slight risk of excessive rainfall for our area in association with this.

Total rainfall amounts will vary with the highest amounts coming across the higher elevations. On average 1-2″ is expected for most of the area with isolated higher amounts possible in the southeast facing slopes near the higher elevations. No major flooding risk is expected, largely thanks to the recent dry weather, but flood prone areas could see some flash flooding problems by late Monday so stay weather aware.

Simulated radar for the next 36 hours

Beyond this system more rainfall is expected on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday as an upper level trough really digs in. Models have been really increasing rainfall totals over the next few days, thanks largely but not entirely to this low, and we could see more flooding issues develop by end of the week depending the speed of an incoming cold front. An additional 1-3″ of rainfall is expected from Tue-Thu before the front finally dries us out on Friday.

Stay tuned for any updates and enjoy the rain!

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