northgawx

Valid Wednesday May 25, 2022

We’ve seen plenty of rainfall in the past two days and more is on the way.

A large upper level trough continues to dig in over the center of the country and slowly march its way east. Over the next 24-48 hours it is expected to cut off and form a fairly stout upper level low that will push east. The image below shows this low on Thursday afternoon centered over the Arkansas/Missouri line.

This upper low will help to enhance rainfall over the deep south including our area. The Weather Prediction Center has placed most of the region under a slight risk for excessive rainfall on Thursday as the upper low pushes closest to us. Between now and Friday an additional 2-4″ of rainfall is possible which, on top of the rainfall we’ve already seen, could result in some isolated instances of flash flooding.

Right now it appears the rain will come in a few waves over the next few days. The first will be overnight Tuesday (as I’m writing this) as a line of storms moves north across the region.

The next batch of showers/storms should come late on Wednesday with more widespread shower and storm activity on Thursday. Thursday is of particular interest because the Storm Prediction Center has placed all of North Georgia under a marginal risk for severe storms, and an upgrade to a slight risk is possible depending how things evolve.

A front will finally push through on Thursday night or Friday morning but some light showers will likely persist on and off on Friday in its wake. High temperatures for Wednesday, Thursday and Friday will all be around the low/mid-70s.

The good news is that Memorial Day Weekend looks absolutely gorgeous. Sunshine will dominate the forecast from Saturday onward. Highs will top out Saturday in the mid/upper-70s rising to the low-80s on Sunday and eventually back into the mid/upper-80s on Memorial Day itself.

A few showers may return to the forecast by Tuesday as a complicated upper level pattern begins to develop for mid/late next week.

Have a great Wednesday and stay dry!